GDPNow (Atlanta Fed) stands at 4.61% as of July 2026, up from 3.47% a year earlier. The reading sits in the 89th percentile of its history back to 2011.
| Latest (July 2026) | 4.61% |
| One year ago | 3.47% |
| 10-year range | -32.08% – 36.97% |
| All-time range | -32.08% (2020) – 36.97% (2020) |
| Change over 2 years | +1.8 pts — bottomed at -2.73% in 2025 |
| Percentile vs. full history | 89th |
| History | 2011–2026 (61 observations) |
The Atlanta Fed's running estimate of current-quarter real GDP growth, updated as economic data is released. It is not a forecast of future quarters but a nowcast of the one in progress. Readings above ~2% suggest the economy is growing at or above trend; readings near or below zero warn of stall speed.
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<a href="https://www.tacticalassetallocation.com/charts/gdpnow/">GDPNow (Atlanta Fed) — Cambria Chart Lab</a>
Data: download CSV (source: FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data)).