GDPNow (Atlanta Fed) stands at 3.48% as of October 2026, down from 4.24% a year earlier. The reading sits in the 81st percentile of its history back to 2011.
| Latest (October 2026) | 3.48% |
| One year ago | 4.24% |
| 10-year range | -32.08% – 36.97% |
| All-time range | -32.08% (2020) – 36.97% (2020) |
| Change over 2 years | +1.2 pts — bottomed at -2.73% in 2025 |
| Percentile vs. full history | 81st |
| History | 2011–2026 (62 observations) |
The Atlanta Fed's running estimate of current-quarter real GDP growth, updated as economic data is released. It is not a forecast of future quarters but a nowcast of the one in progress. Readings above ~2% suggest the economy is growing at or above trend; readings near or below zero warn of stall speed.
<iframe src="https://www.tacticalassetallocation.com/charts/gdpnow/embed.html" width="800" height="360" loading="lazy" style="border:1px solid #ddd;border-radius:8px"></iframe>
<a href="https://www.tacticalassetallocation.com/charts/gdpnow/">GDPNow (Atlanta Fed) — Cambria Chart Lab</a>
Data: download CSV (source: FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data)).