10Y Breakeven stands at 2.31% as of August 28, 2026, down from 2.41% a year earlier. The reading sits in the 65th percentile of its history back to 2003.
| Latest (August 28, 2026) | 2.31% |
| One year ago | 2.41% |
| 10-year range | 0.50% – 3.02% |
| All-time range | 0.04% (2008) – 3.02% (2022) |
| Change over 12 months | −0.1 pts — peaked at 2.50% in 2026 |
| Percentile vs. full history | 65th |
| History | 2003–2026 (5919 observations) |
The 10-year breakeven inflation rate, the longer-horizon counterpart to the 5-year. Anchored breakevens near 2-2.5% suggest inflation credibility; sustained moves above 3% or below 1.5% signal regime concern in either direction.
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<a href="https://www.tacticalassetallocation.com/charts/10-year-breakeven-inflation/">10Y Breakeven — Cambria Chart Lab</a>
Data: download CSV (source: FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data)).